Better Late Than Never: Russia's Expulsion of US Diplomats Was 'Long Overdue'

Author: us-russia
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Better Late Than Never: Russia
Published 31-07-2017, 07:07
Moscow has announced a major cut in the US diplomatic presence in Russia, choosing not to wait for President Trump to sign a new anti-Russian sanctions bill prepared by Congress. US politics expert Vladimir Vasilyev says Moscow's move is a hint to Trump that Russia wants to stop the sanctions-countersanctions back and forth from going any further.

Speaking to Russian media on Sunday, President Vladimir Putin confirmed that Moscow would be considerably cutting the US diplomatic presence in Russia, equalizing the diplomatic missions of each side to 455 people in each country, and forcing 755 US personnel to leave the country.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskovfollowed up on the president's remarks by calling on Washington to abandon its attempts to impose a "sanctions diktat" against Russia, and urged US leaders to show the political will to improve relations to stop the aggravation of the "political schizophrenia" gripping Moscow-Washington ties.

The US State Department saidthat Moscow's decision on US diplomatic personnel was "regrettable" and "uncalled for," while the US Embassy in Russia warned that it may lead to a slowdown in the efficiency of its consular activities.

A senior Trump administration official told US media Sunday that the White House maintains its hopes for an improvement in Russian-US relations, although Vice President Mike Pence hinted that such an improvement rests on Russia "changing its behavior."

Speaking to Russia's RIA Novosti news agency, Vladimir Vasilyev, chief research fellow at the Moscow-based Institute of US and Canada Studies, noted that in retrospect, Russia's response has been pretty mild, especially given the US actions which preceded it.

"Russia could have responded [to the expulsion of Russian diplomats from the US in late 2016] for a long time; this is common diplomatic practice, Vasilyev explained. "But personally I believe that Russia wants to try to influence the process of the signing of [the new anti-Russian sanctions bill]," he added.

According to the expert, "the question of a mirrored, symmetrical response to Barack Obama's diplomatic demarche has dragged on for a long time; eight months have passed already. It was necessary to respond in any case, because the Americans were not going to return our diplomatic property, and were not prepared to talk about the number of [Russian] diplomatic personnel [in the US]."

Vasilyev believes that unlike his predecessor, Trump is someone who can be influenced using this kind of diplomacy. Trump's nature, according to the expert, is that he acts based on his current mood, agreeing to sign something one minute and changing his mind the next. "This is subtle diplomacy," the analyst stressed.

Another reason why Russia has taken the measures, according to Vasilyev, is that Moscow may be trying to send a very specific message to Trump: "This is once again trying to tell Trump firmly that perhaps it's time to stop this escalation. This is what President Putin said in his interview yesterday."

Having said that, Vasilyev believes that there is a 90% chance that Trump will go ahead and sign the new sanctions bill, although he may delay it by asking for some revisions from Congress.

US lawmakers passed a bill outlining new restrictions against Russia, Iran and North Korea last week. President Trump now has ten days to either sign the bill into law or veto it. 

The bill proposes expanding and strengthening a number of sectoral sanctions against Russia, reducing the maximum allowable period for financing sanctioned Russian banks and energy companies to 14 days and 60 days, down from 30 and 90 days, respectively. 

The bill also allows for sanctions to be imposed on individuals or companies who invest in the construction of Russian energy pipelines, or who provide services, technology and information support for such projects. The document has a separate section outlining the US's opposition the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline from Russia to Western Europe via the Baltic Sea. The Kremlin's assessment of the bill was "negative," while EU officials have described it as a "unilateral" US move.

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